The boys over at No Minister have published the latest Roy Morgan opinion poll, and quelle surprise, it's bad news for the Government - very, very bad news. Here's the Roy Morgan report:
Bottom line - National up 3 to 48%, and holding a 14 point lead over Labour, down 6.5 to 34%. Just when Helen was trumpeting that the worm had turned, that the honeymoon was over, that the "hollow men" were being exposed as "all style-no substance", it's all gone sour for Labour.
However, a read of the commentary accompanying the poll result shows that this is REALLY bad news for Labour - here's what the Roy Morgan people said:
"Gary Morgan says:
“The recent plunge in support for the Labour Party follows the mishandling of the domestic terrorism case with the October 15 arrests of Maori activists in Ruatoki.
“Solicitor-General David Collins’ ruling on November 8 that the Government’s anti-terrorism law couldn’t be used to prosecute the activists because the law was ‘confusing’ and ‘incoherent’ reflects badly on the Government’s competence.
“The referral of the Terrorism Suppression Act back to the Law Commission for major re-working — effectively scrapping the current legislation, has brought into question Helen Clark’s ability to protect New Zealanders from the scourge of terrorism. The National Party has strengthened their vote to lead Labour by a massive 14%.”
This latest Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 808 electors between October 29 — November 11, 2007. "
Now those dates take on added significance. The polling period ended on Sunday November 11th. And as we all know, the New Zealand Herald climbed into the government on Monday 12 November - a development that is not captured in this poll! Labour's "outing" by the Herald for their attack on democracy, John Boscawen's march in Auckland, and the reporting back of the EFB and second reading debate will all feature in the next Roy Morgan poll. Oh yes, so will the release of the SSC report into the Madeleine Setchell affair, the revelation of cronyism in the Environment Ministry, and the survey that shows that 57% of Kiwis think that the government has too much control over their lives!! No Minister's by-line, "Roy Morgan Kneecaps Clark" pretty much says it all! To paraphrase the old song - "How low can they go?"