Oh dear. Dear Leader's plans for positivity will not be helped by the result of the Roy Morgan poll released today. Here's what the Roy Morgan organisation had to say:
"Nationals hold election winning lead over Labour
Finding No. 4265 - January 25, 2008
In January, support for the Opposition National Party rose a strong 4.5% to 52%, while support for the New Zealand Labour Government fell again and was down 1% to 33.5%, the latest New Zealand Morgan Poll finds.
Current support for the Opposition National Party is 12.9% above its 2005 General Election result, at its highest level since the 2005 Election. The Labour Government is 7.6% below its 2005 General Election result and 18.5%, up 5.5%, behind the Opposition National Party.
The Green Party vote increased slightly to 6.5%, up 0.5%, while support for New Zealand First was 3.5%, down 1.5%, the lowest level since October. The Maori Party vote was unchanged at 2%.
Minor parties — United Future New Zealand 0.5% (down 1%) and ACT New Zealand 1% (down 1%) — both saw slight dips in support in the New Year.
Electors were asked: “If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
Of electors who said they were likely to vote (90%, up 2.5%), 6% (up 0.5%) were undecided on who they would vote for.
Gary Morgan says:
“The latest New Zealand Morgan Poll shows continued weak support for the Labour Government.
“With an election due later in the year, the increasing support for the Opposition National Party, now at 52% - its highest level since the 2005 election - should be a huge concern for members of the Labour Government.
“With the Reserve Bank of New Zealand leaving interest rates unchanged at a record 8.25% on Thursday, and predictions of increasing inflationary pressures heading through 2008 putting upward pressure on interest rates, Helen Clark could become a political victim of the global economic uncertainty ‘washing up’ on New Zealand’s shores.”
This latest Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 1588 electors between January 3-20, 2008."
You can see the whole survey here: