Regular readers of Keeping Stock will be aware that I rate The Hive highly - it's one of the blogs that is a must-read every morning. The team of authors seems to be incredibly well connected, especially in Foreign Affairs and Trade circles.
So I was most interested in this post this morning:
According to The Hive, "The PM was very sensible on Checkpoint tonight when confronted by the Green's blackmail attempt on the ETS. She reminded the audience of the assurances that had been given to agriculture about 2013 and said that if she did not have the numbers she would delay the vote on the ETS".
This is good politics by Clark, but good news also for those who are calling for the legislation to be parked until after the election. For her, it will not be a backdown - it will all be the Greens's fault! For those who oppose the ETS legislation, there is a hiatus, and the likelihood that a change of government will see a change of direction.
But - and this is my speculation, not The Hive's - could this be the "excuse" that Helen Clark has been looking for to call an early election? The news is unlikely to improve much any time soon, especially when David Parker has finally admitted that power shortages this winter are pretty much inevitable. Will Clark use the ETS vote to collapse the coalition and supply abstention agreement with the Greens? Will Helen Clark go to the polls sooner rather than later, especially if there is a bounce in the polls post-budget?
Interesting times await us!