Somehow I don't imagine that the PM's dinner will have tasted especially good tonight as she contemplates a double-whammy of bad news. "What bad news?" I hear you ask.
Well, there's this bit from TVNZ - the May One News-Colmar Brunton poll...
And there's this bit from 3News - the May 3News poll
And what do they say? Well, you can sum it up in three words - LABOUR * IS *STUFFED
The One News poll has National at 55% (up 1) and Labour on 29% (down 6). No, it's NOT a typo - this is the second "rogue" poll in a month to have the government polling below 30%, and National with a lead in the high 20's - 26 points to be precise. John Key has cemented his lead over Helen Clark in the PPM poll at 36% (up 1) while Clark is on 28% (down 1).
Over at 3News the trend is the same, but the margins are a bit tighter. National is at 50% (up 2), a 15 point lead over Labour on 35% (down 3). Key has raced ahead of Clark in the PPM, up 6 to 35%, while the incumbent is down 3 to 29%.
Cullen's budget is, as predicted, a flop, and there has been no bounce for Labour with their last roll of the dice. Duncan Garner summed up Labour's dilemma - he said voters "appear to be tired of Helen Clark and her government" - amen to that Duncan!
3 comments:
For people who've had to put up with Helen and her cronies for over eight years, these poll results are music to our ears.
However, the irony is polls like the TVNZ one do have a downside for National. They embed complacency. Supporters see National cruising to victory & don't go that extra mile.
I've heard of one National candidate hoping for a tightening of the polls.
^not sure if I fully subscribe to that theory though. I want to see Labour annihilated in the opinion polls.
Couple of other points:
Now that Helen is well and truly behind, I want to see her hounded by questions over her leadership. John Howard & Tony Blair were relentlessly hounded. But they had people waiting in the wings to take over.
Helen has the party wrapped up so tightly that no one dears to speak out. Even when the polls are bad.
The media, & ambitious Labour party MPs no longer need to fear H1 & H2.
I'm interested in your closing comment NX - perhaps Helengrad is no longer the inpenetrable fortress it once was. I wonder how long it will be before Heather Simpson becomes the sacrificial lamb.
The Sub-Standard haven't blogged on these polls yet. Strangely quite over there.
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