The latest Roy Morgan is out, with good news for the Left compared to the rogue TV3 poll.
So naturally, we went and had a look at the latest Roy Morgan poll; and here's what it shows:
Support for government parties is up 1% to 56%:
National Party 51% (unchanged),
Maori Party 3.5% (up 2%),
ACT NZ 1% (down 1%)
United Future 0.5% (unchanged),Support for Opposition Parties is down 1% to 44%:
Labour Party 32% (up 0.5%)
Greens 8%, (unchanged),
New Zealand First 3% (down 2%),
Progressive Party 0.5% (up 0.5%),
Others 0.5% (unchanged).
This, Dear Readers, is the "good news for the Left" to which ROB at The Standard refers; the difference between the Left's share of the vote and the Right's share only changed by TWO percentage points (in the Right's favour) since the last Morgan poll!
Things must be pretty dire at Labour HQ at the moment if that is the best "good news" that they can come up with. The Morgan poll still shows a 19 point difference between National (51%) and Labour (32%). And the Morgan poll still shows a 12 point difference between the Right's share (56% and rising) and the Left's share (44% and falling).
On these figures, there is little chance of as Labour-led government in November, especially with Hone's Mana Party about to cannibalise the far-left vote. And that is indeed something to celebrate!
1 comments:
Look at the private polls (if you can get 'em).
Morgan is the Rogue - TV3 is right. Remember TV3 is the poll that best measures the left vote, high or low.
And this poll data collection is at least a week old - I've seen indicative polls with ACT up at 10% already.
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