National — up 2.% to $55.1%
Labour — down 2.9% to 29.9%
Greens — up 2.6% to 9.1%
ACT — down 0.5% to 1.7%
Maori — down 0.8% to 0.8%
Mana — up 0.2% to 0.7%
Oh dear. Labour is once again in the sub-thirty bracket, and the Greens are catching fast. On this basis National would easily govern alone, even if there was an overhang for either of the Maori parties.
The news isn't any better for Phil Goff in the Preferred Prime Minister stakes. Goff rates at 6.9%, whilst John Key rates at over 50% support.
Phil Goff and Labour can't take a trick at the moment. Their much-vaunted tax package hasn't even been released yet, but it has already been discredited by revelations that Labour will have to keep borrowing even more than National currently is. The party is under investigation by the police for electoral irregularities, and there's still more to come over WhaleLeaks.
It's only 20 weeks until the election, and there are only 18 sitting days remaining for the 49th Parliament. Labour is running out of time to turn its outrageous ill-fortune around.