Over at Red Alert, Darien Fenton has an interesting post this afternoom. Entitled The polls that matter, it then discusses Matt McCarten, and how strong the bonds bteween Labour and the trade union movement are. We can only guess that she had been given the "soft landing" job today; forewarned of bad poll results.
And both TV channels have led the news with their polls tonight. 3 News has National at 54% and Labour at 28%. One News has National at 56% and Labour at 30%. Both polls have the margin between the two parties at 26 percentage points, meaning that National continues to outpoll Labour by a margin of almost two to one.
The preferred Prime Minister polls are no better. Both have Phil Goff in single figures, whilst John Key continues to draw an extraordinary level of support. His rating on the One News poll is the highest it has ever been.
Labour is right in one regard; the only poll that matters is the one on 26 November; 97 days away. But one would have expected the gap to start to narrow now, with the election so close.
Parliament is now in recess for two weeks, and the House sits again beginning Tuesday 6th September; possinbly the last session of the 49th Parliament. If Labour is going to do something about it and Phil Goff's polling, it will have to happen soon. Ideally, a new leadership would take its place the day that Parliament resumes, so that they had the maximum opportunity to get a hit in on Key and National. That depends though on wherther there is a mood to change, or whether there is anyone prepared to take one for the team, with no guarantee of being leader after the election.
Trevor Mallard may have won the race today, but he has a huge job now as Labour's campaign manager, and the PPM ratings make it that much harder for him to sell Phil Goff as a potential Prime Minister. Whither now for the Labour Party?