Every picture tells a story. And the story that this picture tells is of a dreadful result for Labour next Saturday. The Roy Morgan organisation reports:
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows Prime Minister John Key’s National Party set for a clear victory in next Saturday’s New Zealand election with National (53%, unchanged) increasing its lead over the Labour Party (24.5%, down 1.5%). Support for the Green Party (13%, up 1%) has continued to increase while New Zealand First (3%, down 1.5%), ACT NZ (1.5%, up 0.5%) and United Future ( > 0.5%, unchanged) will all struggle to win seats in the new Parliament.
The Maori Party (3%, up 1%) and the Mana Party (1%, unchanged) will contest the seven Maori seats with the Maori Party expected to do well again and likely to benefit from the collapse in the Labour vote since the 2008 New Zealand election while Other minor parties are supported by 1% (up 0.5%).
This poll is as current as it gets; polling only concluded yesterday. Labour's 24.5% result is its lowest ever since Roy Morgan began polling in New Zealand, whilst the Greens' 13% is its best ever. And support for NZ First has dropped.
The Storm in a Teacup hasn't hurt National, but Labour and NZ First have both fallen significantly. It seems that the media's attempts to manipulate public opinion have failed. And Labour is heading for a defeat of unprecedented proportions.
On the basis of this result, National will easily govern alone with 66 seats. Labour will have a mere 31, the Greens 16, the Maori Party 4, Act 2 and Mana and United Future 1 each.
What can Labour do now?