It's Friday 25 November; the last day that we can publicly talk about politics before New Zealand heads to the polls tomorrow to elect a government for the next three years.
Truth to tell, we ALMOST all politiced out, but we guess that we can drag ourselves up for another day. So we'll get this edition of the Friday Forum up and running nice and early, and you can get stuck in.
What we'd like today, if you'd be so kind, is to get an indication of who you'll be voting for, and why. We're going to cover our intentions off in a post shortly, and others around the blogosphere have done likewise.
If you want to talk about things other than politics, that's fine. But the General Election is the big story today. The Friday Forum is open for business and the floor is, as ever, yours...
5 comments:
The NZ Herald and Roy Morgan(RM) have both released their last pre-election polls. The Herald poll has National at 50.9 whilst the Roy Morgan has National at 49.5.
Both polls have NZ First over the 5% threshold. Labour in RM have a measly 23.5% which is similiar to what happened in 2002 to National, the voters abandoned them when it was obvious they couldn't win.
The Greens in RM have a very solid 14.5%.
My predictions using the election calculator on the election website:
National 49% = 66 seats
Labour 25% = 33 seats
Greens 13% = 17 seats
ACT 1.5% = 2 seats
Maori 1% = 4 seats
Mana 1% = 1 seat
NZ First 4.5%
The percentage of the votes that end up going to waste is going to be key on election night. I don't think Peters will get back in and only one of Dunne or Banks will win their electorate seats.
I've already cast an advance vote last Wednesday so I've done my democratic duty!
Two blue ticks.
Jacqui Dean ahs earned the vote in Waitaki for all she's done throughout the 34,888 square kilometres she has to service.
National is the party which best fits my philosophy and principles and we need strong, stable government not more debt and instability.
I live In Wigram, so I think my party vote is the only one that counts. In theory I should vote National, but I don't trust Key anymore since the referendum and CCCP's policy (from what I have seen) largely lines up with my vales but they are too much of an unknown and with Whale busting their polling leeds me to think they are a bit dodgy. In short, I don't think there is anyone I can vote for...
I'm concerned a low turnout for Liabour on the day might push up Winston Firsts stocks. A low turnout for the left would also help Nat & Act so it's not all bad.
I've already voted. As I'm married to the candidate I thought I'd better tick that one. For the party vote, whilst I have lost faith, they're still the only party that is close to my philosophy so ticked the Act box.
Paranormal
Craig Foss gets my Electorate Vote - a good man doing a good job.
ACT for my party vote for two reasons 1) Brash has something to offer if Key lets him. 2) There seems a lot of promise in list places 3 to 10 and that bodes well for 2014.
A definte NO to MMP and will probably tick STV but I have not entirely ruled out SM - a bit ofd research to do and limited computer access is a bugger at the moment.
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