Labour's support has slipped in the first week of the election campaign to below 30 per cent, in the latest DigiPoll survey released this afternoon.
Labour is on 29.1 per cent, the first time Labour has been in the 20s in the 12 years the Herald has been running DigiPoll surveys.
The poll will be running weekly until the election.
Labour's fall of 1.2 points over the week may not be much of a fall but it will be psychological blow for the party to fall below 30 per cent.
The Green party on 10.1 per cent is its highest DigiPoll rating since the 2002 election campaign at the height of Corngate GE crops scandal.
It would have 13 MPs under current polling.
No other party reaches 2 per cent in the party vote, but the Colin Craig-led Conservative Party has featured in Party vote ratings for the first time, with 1.1 per cent.
National's polling is up by 0.7 points to 54.2 per cent, which would give it a clear majority to govern alone.
As Audrey Young notes, this will be a psychological blow for Goff and his erstwhile campaign manager Trevor Mallard who have been telling us for months that the gap will narrow closer to the election. The gap's not narrowing; it's widening, and the election is now just three weeks and two days away. It should also be noted that the Herald Digipoll is as fresh as it gets; polling only concluded yesterday.
And if they are having trouble digesting what's been reported above, Trevor and especially Phil will choke on what follows:
Mr Key is preferred Preferred Prime Minister on 70.6 per cent, the same as last week, and support for Labour leader Phil Goff has slipped from 13.7 per cent last week to 11.7 this week.
And to save a seperate post, and because we can, here's the contest in a nutshell, condensed by Cameron Slater into 2m29s of entertaining viewing:
Phil Goff is promising to "show us the money" tomorrow; we just hope that a dog doesn't eat the USB stick with the spreadsheet on it between now and then!
7 comments:
Ahhhh.. yep. The Herald. 'nuff said I'd opine.
Remember INV2 as with every election prior to this. The poll on the day of the 26th counts. Anything else is just pointless opining. But that's just an opine I have part deux SWMBO and myself opine!
Where's John's plan that's what I as a businessman want to know. He does not have one!!!! Part Deux!!!
Can you tell me his plan?? For business?? For society?? For the future?? I have no confidence in it because I don't fall for slogans and smiles and waves. Where's the plan man?? Sell assets? that's not a plan. National Standards? That's not a plan. Lower wages?? That's not plan... There IS NO ECONOMIC PLAN... it is a MUDDLE.
Just pause, and take a deep breath Anon; you seem confused...
Awesome stuff for the Greens.
Agreed Jacqui; the Greens are polling especially well, although in the last couple of elections they have dropped away a bit come election day. But the strategy of having Russel Norman, Gareth Hughes and to a lesser degree Metiria Turei fronting most things is smart; the more "extreme" members such as Cath Delahunty are kept well hidden. It will be interesting to see if they can get the voters out on polling day.
Hi INV2. Are you able to inform us why you think Anon above is confused? I understood what he is saying. It seemed like a piss-take of your writing style followed by some searching questions.
If you don't understand all of it, can you at least posit your idea as to what the National governments plan might be for the economy? That part at least was not a confusing question.... I'd like to know too and John Key isn't telling us.
Thank you, Marcus.
not agreeing with a plan is not the same as not having a plan.
a common meme from labour supporters and the left in general, is that National does not have a plan.... but they then swipe at all policy as they idealogically disagree or by reflex ... and then say National dont have a plan.
If National dont have a plan, there is no need to comment on policy ....
Quite so Double D; it's a bit like the Labour meme that they left National a surplus in 2008; it's not quite true. The 2008 Budget forecast a surplus, but it was gone by the time that the books were opened on Prefu day, when the "decade of deficits" quote was spawned. Cullen had spent the proceeds of nine years of boom times, and as promised, the cupboard was bare.
And Marcus; of course I was aware that our Anonymous friend was taking the mickey, which was why I took the mickey in response.
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