As the election nears, so will the plethora of political polls. There will be so many, it won't be possible to comment on all of them, so we may group them together.
Roy Morgan reported yesterday. The key numbers were thus; National down 2 points to 53.5%, Labour up 2 points to 29.5% and the Greens steady on 9.5%.
And the Fairfax/MRI poll was released this morning, showing a similar trend; National on 52.6%, Labour up three points to 31.3% and the Greens on 9.7%.
Both polls show that National could still govern alone, only 24 days out from the election. That must be a real worry to Phil Goff and his erstwhile campaign manager Trevor Mallard, who had to send out a begging letter to the party faithful this week.
But both polls also make a mockery of "Eddie", the Labour Party insider who blogs at The Standard's claims last week that the Rena stranding would be a nail in National's coffin, and that National Party internal polling had the party rating in the mid-40% range. The Fairfax MRI poll was taken up to and including this Monday, and Eddie also predicted that the Greens were polling at 15% on National's internal polling. It sounds as though the "leak" that "Eddie" (excuse the quotation marks, but we are never really sure which of the Labour party insiders who blog as "Eddie" writes a particular post) received might have been a dud.
We'll be watching trends with interest as the election draws nearer. But on the basis of these two polls, the impossible - a one-party MMP government - is still very possible.