Over at Kiwiblog DPF blogs:
I’ve blogged at Curiablog the results of the One News and 3 News polls.
Both polls have National up and Labour and Greens down. Shearer’s preferred PM numbers have also dropped, which will put the acid on him from his caucus.
I think the polls reflect that the Government has got through the various distractions and issues of the first six months, and is now concentrating on implementing its programme. The other factor is that Labour are not a convincing alternative yet, and in fact are going backwards.
We agree with DPF's assessment in his final paragraph. In particular, it seems that the heat has gone out of the asset sales debate. Despite the fact that Labour and the Greens are still collecting signatures for the PPIR petition, nothing is going to change the Government's plans.
Labour especially needs to concede defeat. As they continue to focus on a battle that has already been fought and lost, the 2014 election draws nearer day by day. If Labour's backward direction in the polls continues, Labour's caucus will get nervous and that could have implications for the leadership, especially if David Shearer is not the preferred leader for the union lobby that now controls 20% of the vote.