Friday, August 17, 2012

Labour's new dilemma

There was another Members' Bill draw at Parliament yesterday, and it has presented a new dilemma for the Labour Party; the Herald reports:

Labour will vote for the initial stage of a Green Party bill to extend Working for Families' tax credits to beneficiaries, but will not commit to supporting it further or keeping the policy that was one of its main election pledges last year.
Green MP Catherine Delahunty's members' bill to provide tax credits to those on the benefit is on to Parliament's order paper after being drawn from the ballot of private members' bills yesterday.

We suspect that Labour's strategists were hoping that Catherine Delahunty's Income Tax (Universalisation of In-work Tax Credit) Amendment Bill would never see the light of day. That's because her Bill mirrors the policy that Labour campaigned on in 2011, and for which it was roundly criticised.


Delahunty’s bill will be the really interesting one. It legislates for the $60 a week in-work tax credit to be extended to parents who are on benefits and not working. This has been long-standing Green policy, but after resisting it in Government was Labour policy in 2011. It was hugely unpopular and it will be a fascinating defining issue for David Shearer as to whether Labour keeps their 2011 policy, or ditches it. They would rather not had to decide until 2014, but this bill will force them to confront this issue.
If Labour vote for this bill, it will be a huge weapon against them in 2014. If they ditch their policy, their activist base could go even more feral, coming on the back of the sickness beneficiary comments.

Labour was ecstatic with the way the cards fell at the previous Members' Bill ballot. Whilst those who annointed Mr Shearer and want to see Labour take votes from National in the centre will be wondering where the next piece of good news is coming from, those who support a lurch to the Left will be more chipper.

This is a genuine damned-if-they-do-and-damned-if-they-don't dilemma for Mr Shearer and his caucus. The only good news for them is that the Bill is unlikely to make it past a First Reading, as National, Act and United Future will surely oppose it. After all, the key words in the Bill's title are In-work. The notion of paying a working entitlement to those who are not typifies the Greens' approach to things economic, especially after the kicking that Labour got in November 2011.

4 comments:

Edward the Confessor said...

It's actually pretty simple. Vote for it at first reading saying you think a Select Committee should look at it, Nats will kill it and look like they don't want it debated, issue goes away. No biggie. Sorry chief.

Robert Winter said...

I think The Confessor is probably right, but the principle is one that is no doubt in discussion in Labour's current policy discussions. I expect some aspects of the 2011 manifesto to remain in place, but others will go as new faces work on policy.

It isn't a biggie, really.

Scott said...

Bloody Gold! now we really get to see what Labour actually stands for and whether Cunliffe will finally tell David Shearer where to get ***** and lead a revolt

Edward the Confessor said...

Awwww, that's sweet, Scotty's all excited.

No you won't. Sorry chief!