Thursday, February 28, 2013

And then came Roy Morgan...

Parliament has just gone into recess for a week. And right on cue, the latest Roy Morgan poll is out; Scoop reports:


Roy Morgan Poll - National With Huge Lead Over Labour

Finding No. 4867
Available on Website: www.roymorgan.com
On February 28, 2013
See Roy Morgan Online Store
roymorganonlinestore.com/Browse/New-Zealand.aspx


NATIONAL (47.5%) HAS HUGE LEAD OVER LABOUR (30.5%)
BIGGEST SINCE JULY 2012 & WOULD WIN CLOSE ELECTION

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large gain in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 47.5% (up 3.5% since early February and the highest since July 9-22, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2.5% (up 2%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).
Support for Labour is 30.5% (down 4%); Greens are 12.5% (down 1%), New Zealand First 3% (down 1%), Mana Party 0.5% (unchanged), Conservative Party of NZ 2% (unchanged) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).
If a National Election were held today this New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows that the National Party with some minor Party support would win the Election.

Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a surge in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National (47.5%, up 3.5%) now with its biggest lead over the main Opposition Labour Party (30.5%, down 4%) since July 2012. Support for third party the Greens has also dropped to 12.5% (down 1%).
“Today’s result was surveyed prior to Opposition Leader David Shearer’s cabinet reshuffle and suggests the changes were badly needed by an Opposition Party that is yet to make a serious dent in the strong lead held by Prime Minister Key’s National since the 2008 New Zealand Election, now over 4 years ago. Although the next NZ Election is still over 18 months ago, Labour must significantly improve its position if it is to have a real chance of regaining power in late 2014.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,052 electors from February 11 – 24, 2013. Of all electors surveyed 4% (up 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

Maybe that rogue 3News-Reid Research poll wasn't so rogue after all. This is more dreadful news for Labour.


But David Shearer will be pleased about one thing; Roy Morgan doesn't do a preferred Prime Minister poll. That might have spoiled his week off completely!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

"It's wonderful, wonderful, oh so wonderful..." to quote Johnny Mathis.

Cadwallader