Financial experts are united - next year could be a golden one for the New Zealand economy with all signs pointing to a prosperous 2014.
Commodity prices are booming, businesses are at their most confident in 20 years, the economy is among the world's fastest growing, jobs and wages are predicted to rise and that confidence is filtering through to consumers who are starting to open their wallets.
New Zealand's GDP growth was at its highest in four years in the last quarter at 3.5 per cent on the previous year - higher than Australia (2.3 per cent), the US (1.8), Britain (1.5) and Japan at 2.4 per cent.
Compared with Australia, once our largest trading partner but recently overtaken by China and whose economic growth outside the mining sector has relatively flatlined, our positive outlook is more stark.
However, living up to their billing as experts in the dismal science, economists are also quick to warn against overconfidence, pointing out that no boom lasts forever.
New Zealand led the world into recession. Our economy was already going backwards at a great rate of knots when the government changed in November 2008. With his last defiant act, the buy-back of Kiwirail, Michael Cullen cleaned out the cheque account, having already emptied the savings account. His gift to Bill English and John Key was the infamous Decade of Deficits.
That Bill English will have the books back in the black four years ahead of schedule is commendable enough. But now New Zealand is being held up as an example to the global community of how to manage your way through tough times. Mr English was the right man to be in charge as the world plunged into a Global Financial Crisis.
We quite agree with the economists referred to above; no boom lasts forever. But the boom that is just three days around the corner would last a lot less if a big-spending, big borrowing, big taxing LabourGreen government was to be elected late in 2014. Bill English deserves another term to get the New Zealand economy onto an even more solid footing than he has already achieved.